It’s the ultimate nightmare scenario: all of BP‘s attempts to stanch the Gulf Oil disaster (including drilling relief wells) fail. Not only do the relief wells fail, but the broken pipe starts leaking in other places and the sea floor starts to collapse from growing instability. The result is a massive rift in the ocean floor that spews upwards of two billion gallons of oil into the Gulf before the reservoir is exhausted. Could this actually happen?

bp, gulf oil spill, gulf oil disaster, deepwater horizon, oil, gulf coastPhoto by Grassroots Mapping

“Dougr“, a commenter on the Oil Drum’s message board, thinks it could. And while we aren’t normally in the habit of making entire stories out of message board comments, Doug seems to have some credible backers.

According to our anonymous commenter, BP’s comments over the past weeks make it clear that there is “one inescapabale conclusion… The well pipes below the sea floor are broken and leaking.” Doug goes on to explain, “All of these things lead to only one place, a fully wide open well bore directly to the oil deposit…after that, it goes into the realm of “the worst things you can think of”… […] the very least damaging outcome as bad as it is, is that we are stuck with a wide open gusher blowing out 150,000 barrels a day of raw oil or more.”

Given BP’s general lack of transparency, we wouldn’t be surprised if the oil giant already knows that something like this is going on. What do you think — do Dougr’s comments have any merit? Check out his full explanation here.

+ The Oil Drum